Credit Spreads are being smashed. Risk on. No Fear! Meanwhile…
(Source Bank of America)
Rolling 4 week avg flows. Main street is buying. Guess who is selling?
Maybe this time will be different. It is great time of you are a day trader or a CTA. Dangerous times if you are about to retire and not watching the market.
“According to BofA, hedge fund clients are showing some of the lowest 4-week average net buying flows since 2008 signaling extreme caution or bearish positioning. Institutional clients have also turned into persistent sellers since January 2025. In sharp contrast, retail (private) clients are net buyers at record levels since December 2024.
This kind of divergence doesn’t happen often. Either the pros are about to miss a major rally… or retail is about to learn a hard lesson. One of these groups is going to be very wrong.”
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