Not Your Advisor
Not Your Advisor
All Time Lies at Jackson Hole 🎧 #270 (Aug 23)
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All Time Lies at Jackson Hole 🎧 #270 (Aug 23)

27 Charts for Premium members. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $ES_F $VIX $AAPL $AMZN $META $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA $TLT $TBT $BTC $ARKK $ARKB $FBTC $BTCO $IBIT $BRRR $SMCI $ARM $RDDT $DJT $GLD $SLV $GDX #THEFED

They have to crash the dollar slowly. We are almost at point of no return. Where even the Fed will be humbled. And gold rising is not helping.

Reminder for when the fed cut - buzz wears off…
https://nyugrad.substack.com/p/fed-pivot-will-be-a-head-fake

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Summary of the day

Fed Pump on hope for rate cut

SLV up more than Russell 2k

Home builders and airbnb

F, GM and HOG all green today on rate cut hopes.

But don’t LOOK! Ford $F and $GM Car dealers are screwed. I did a search for nationwide new inventory of 2023 or newer on dealer lots.

Ford: 321k cars

GM: 233k cars

Ford F150: 75k pickups

2:50pm

Here is a mom and pop Harley Dealer in California that just invested a lot of money on redesign of their space. Harley corp imposes rules, just like Hotel co’s on their hotel owners to revise their showrooms or lose the right to bear the brand flag.

How will the entirety of the mom and pop dealer survive this? Manufacturers need low priced entry level loss leader products. aka Sub $10k product like Royal Enfield, targeting the next younger generation. Or a sub 20k car like byd.

Breadth

  • 1257 new highs

  • 73 new lows

  • Nasdaq New Highs/Lows 175 Highs vs 26 Lows

  • 84% advancing 14% declining

  • 29% below 50 day ma

  • 32% below the 200 day ma

Stuck out

HOV down 5%

Strong

Weak

Nothing

What to watch

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At the very least, improve your own education so you can grade your financial advisors homework and performance!


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